Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ECHO (-3.5) vs Walczaki (+3.5) | 100% ECHO | 0% Walczaki |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Walczaki (-3.5) vs ECHO (+3.5) | 0% Walczaki | 100% ECHO |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ECHO (-6.5) vs Walczaki (+6.5) | 0% ECHO | 100% Walczaki |
Market context
The underlying event is the Counter-Strike 2 upper bracket final in the Super DraculaN Group B, where ECHO faces Walczaki in a best-of-three match scheduled for 11:00 AM ET on 25 June 2026. ECHO, ranked 66 globally, meets Walczaki, ranked 40, with the map pool yet to be confirmed for this LAN playoff encounter[2]. The market currently implies a 100% probability that ECHO will win, despite Walczaki’s higher ranking and stronger historical win rate of 71.8% compared to ECHO’s 56.2%[3].
Historical precedents in similar esports betting markets show that 100% implied probabilities often collapse when underdogs possess superior form or when external factors like player fatigue or tactical mismatches emerge. In the Tipsport Conquest of Prague LAN Finals, Walczaki previously defeated Alliance in a decisive series, suggesting resilience against ranked opponents[1]. Such cases illustrate that absolute market certainty can be misleading if recent performance data or team dynamics shift unexpectedly before the match begins.
Traders should monitor official announcements regarding the map pool, player availability, and any potential delays, as these dependencies directly affect match completion and resolution conditions. Recent coverage from Scores24 confirms the match is live today, but no updates on map selection have been released yet[5]. Additionally, regulatory frameworks such as Germany’s GlüStV and US CFTC reach influence market accessibility, particularly for platforms offering “no-KYC up to $1,500,” which allows broader participation without identity verification for smaller stakes. This specific market’s accessibility hinges on compliance with these thresholds, ensuring traders can engage without triggering stricter KYC protocols.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: ECHO vs Walczaki (BO3) - Super Dracu… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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