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Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B

"Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Polymarket Germany Legal as a Polymarket alternative.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Any Player Ultra Kill 100% Volume: $617K Closes: 8 Nov 2026
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Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Germany Legal) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Any Player Ultra Kill100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100%
Game Handicap: HULIGANI (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?100%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, dota 2: huligani vs yellow submarine (bo3) - 1win essence play-in group b stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between HULIGANI and Yellow Submarine in the 1win Essence Play-in Group B, initially scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This mark…

Methodology

This overview of Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

How are winnings taxed?
Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
Can I trade anonymously?
Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Polymarket Germany Legal stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Polymarket Germany Legal exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
What if regulation changes?
If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Polymarket Germany Legal would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
and

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