Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Piracicaba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Gonzalo Villanueva | 0% Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 100% Gonzalo Villanueva |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Piracicaba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Gonzalo Villanueva Set 1 Winner | 100% Almeida | 0% Villanueva |
| Piracicaba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Gonzalo Villanueva Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Piracicaba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Gonzalo Villanueva Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Piracicaba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Gonzalo Villanueva Set 2 Winner | 0% Almeida | 100% Villanueva |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 0% probability to piracicaba: matheus pucinelli de almeida vs gonzalo villanueva. This market refers to the tennis match between Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida and Gonzalo Villanueva in the Piracicaba, originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Piracicaba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Gonzalo … on PolyGram
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