Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Germany Legal) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -0.5 | 94% |
| Spread -1.5 | 94% |
| Spread -2.5 | 94% |
| Spread -4.5 | 94% |
| Spread -7.5 | 94% |
| Spread -8.5 | 94% |
| O/U 29.5 | 94% |
| Spread -5.5 | 93% |
| Spread -10.5 | 93% |
| Spread -13.5 | 91% |
| O/U 31.5 | 91% |
| Spread -14.5 | 89% |
| O/U 33.5 | 88% |
| O/U 35.5 | 87% |
| NC State O/U 32.5 | 87% |
| Spread -16.5 | 86% |
| Spread -6.5 | 84% |
| Spread -17.5 | 84% |
| O/U 37.5 | 83% |
| Spread -20.5 | 80% |
| O/U 39.5 | 80% |
| Spread -21.5 | 77% |
| O/U 41.5 | 77% |
| Spread -23.5 | 74% |
| O/U 43.5 | 73% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 73% |
| Spread -26.5 | 73% |
| Spread -24.5 | 72% |
| Spread -27.5 | 69% |
| O/U 45.5 | 66% |
| Spread -25.5 | 64% |
| Spread -30.5 | 62% |
| Spread -29.5 | 62% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 61% |
| Spread -28.5 | 59% |
| O/U 47.5 | 58% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 57% |
| O/U 48.5 | 56% |
| Spread -31.5 | 55% |
| Spread -32.5 | 55% |
| O/U 49.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 52% |
| Richmond O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Richmond O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| NC State O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| NC State O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| NC State O/U 35.5 | 51% |
| NC State O/U 41.5 | 51% |
| NC State O/U 44.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| Davion Gause: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Preston Douglas: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Vander Ploog: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Keenan Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Davion Dozier: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Sean Clarke: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| NC State O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| NC State O/U 36.5 | 51% |
| NC State O/U 42.5 | 51% |
| NC State O/U 45.5 | 51% |
| Richmond O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Richmond O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Richmond O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Richmond O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Richmond O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| NC State O/U 47.5 | 51% |
| O/U 50.5 | 51% |
| NC State 1H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| NC State 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| NC State 1H O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Richmond 1H O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Richmond 1H O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Richmond 1H O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| NC State 1H O/U 18.5 | 51% |
| NC State 1H O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 31.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -11.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 18.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -11.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 51% |
| Richmond 2H O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Richmond 2H O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Richmond 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| NC State 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| NC State 2H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| NC State 2H O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| Richmond O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| Will Wilson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| CJ Bailey: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Joshisa Trader: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Victor Snow: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Hunter Provience: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Quanye Veney: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ashten Snelsire: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jamaal Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| NC State O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| NC State 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -33.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -47.5 | 50% |
| Spread -48.5 | 50% |
| Spread -50.5 | 50% |
| Spread -51.5 | 50% |
| Spread -54.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 49% |
| O/U 51.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 47% |
| 1H Moneyline | 46% |
| Spread -37.5 | 43% |
| O/U 53.5 | 42% |
| Spread -35.5 | 42% |
| Spread -36.5 | 40% |
| O/U 55.5 | 37% |
| Spread -39.5 | 37% |
| Spread -40.5 | 37% |
| Spread -41.5 | 34% |
| Spread -42.5 | 33% |
| Spread -44.5 | 32% |
| O/U 57.5 | 31% |
| Spread -38.5 | 31% |
| O/U 59.5 | 25% |
| O/U 61.5 | 23% |
| O/U 63.5 | 19% |
| O/U 65.5 | 16% |
| O/U 67.5 | 14% |
| O/U 69.5 | 11% |
| Richmond vs. NC State | 3% |
Market context
Richmond vs. NC State. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 2% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-11T23:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $81K.
Methodology
This overview of Richmond vs. NC State reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- Is Polymarket legal in my country?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Polymarket Germany Legal has a different geo footprint.
- How are winnings taxed?
- Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
- Can I trade anonymously?
- Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Polymarket Germany Legal stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
- Is there a withdrawal cap?
- No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
- What if regulation changes?
- If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Polymarket Germany Legal would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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