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Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs

"Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Polymarket Germany Legal as a Polymarket alternative.

Match Winner 77% Game 1 Winner 68% Game 2 Winner 68% First Blood in Game 2? 54% Volume: $81K Liquidity: $501K Closes: 22 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Germany Legal) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner77%
Game 1 Winner68%
Game 2 Winner68%
First Blood in Game 2?54%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?50%
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)49%
O/U 2.5 Games41%
Both Teams Beat Roshan33%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks33%
Both Teams Beat Roshan32%
Both Teams Beat Roshan32%
Any Player Rampage32%
Any Player Ultra Kill28%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks25%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks25%
Any Player Ultra Kill24%
Any Player Ultra Kill24%
Any Player Rampage12%
Any Player Rampage6%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 77% YES probability for Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs. This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket final match between TEAM VISION and Team Yandex in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market wi…

Methodology

This overview of Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Is Polymarket legal in my country?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Polymarket Germany Legal has a different geo footprint.
Do I need to KYC for Polymarket Germany Legal?
Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
What if regulation changes?
If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Polymarket Germany Legal would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
and

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