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US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic

"US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Polymarket Germany Legal as a Polymarket alternative.

US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic 100% Completed Match 100% US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 2 Winner 100% US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $389K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Germany Legal) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic100%
Completed Match100%
US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 2 Winner100%
US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 1 Winner100%
US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic Game Spread +/-0.5100%
US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 3 Winner100%
US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic Set Handicap +/-2.5100%
US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 3 O/U 8.5100%
US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic Match O/U 36.50%
US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic Total Sets: O/U 3.50%
US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 1 O/U 9.50%
US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic Total Sets: O/U 4.50%
US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 2 O/U 9.50%
US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic Match O/U 38.50%
US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 1 O/U 10.50%
US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 2 O/U 10.50%
US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic Match O/U 40.50%
US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 3 O/U 9.50%
US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 3 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, us open atp: kamil majchrzak vs hamad medjedovic stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Kamil Majchrzak and Hamad Medjedovic in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will re…

Methodology

This overview of US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Do I need to KYC for Polymarket Germany Legal?
Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
How are winnings taxed?
Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
Can I trade anonymously?
Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Polymarket Germany Legal stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
and

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