Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Germany Legal) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 91% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 91% |
| Delaware O/U 9.5 | 91% |
| Delaware O/U 12.5 | 91% |
| Delaware O/U 15.5 | 91% |
| Delaware 1H O/U 5.5 | 91% |
| Delaware 1H O/U 7.5 | 91% |
| Delaware 1H O/U 9.5 | 91% |
| Delaware O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| Delaware O/U 13.5 | 91% |
| Delaware O/U 16.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 91% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 91% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 91% |
| O/U 50.5 | 77% |
| O/U 53.5 | 73% |
| O/U 54.5 | 71% |
| Spread -5.5 | 71% |
| Spread -6.5 | 69% |
| Spread -7.5 | 68% |
| Spread -11.5 | 67% |
| O/U 55.5 | 57% |
| Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| O/U 44.5 | 56% |
| Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| O/U 38.5 | 53% |
| Spread -17.5 | 52% |
| Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| Delaware O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Delaware O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Delaware O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Delaware O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| O/U 70.5 | 50% |
| O/U 72.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Vanderbilt O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| Delaware O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Delaware O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Delaware O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Delaware O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Delaware O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Delaware 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Delaware 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Delaware 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| Sedrick Alexander: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Junior Sherrill: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cole Spence: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ja'Cory Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Blaze Berlowitz: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Makhilyn Young: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Sean Wilson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tristen Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jared Curtis: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nick Minicucci: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jayvontay Conner: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Bryson Graves: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Viron Ellison Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Da'Wain Lofton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kayleb Barnett: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Donovan Lewis: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Scott Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nick Tyree: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kaderris Roberts: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Elijah Sessoms: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| Spread -29.5 | 50% |
| Spread -32.5 | 50% |
| Spread -36.5 | 50% |
| Spread -39.5 | 50% |
| Spread -42.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| O/U 68.5 | 49% |
| O/U 58.5 | 47% |
| Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| O/U 74.5 | 35% |
| Spread -20.5 | 34% |
| Spread -24.5 | 34% |
| O/U 62.5 | 33% |
| Spread -13.5 | 29% |
| Spread -16.5 | 28% |
| O/U 56.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| Delaware vs. Vanderbilt | 17% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| Vanderbilt 1H O/U 18.5 | 10% |
| Vanderbilt 1H O/U 20.5 | 10% |
| Vanderbilt 1H O/U 22.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 10% |
| Spread -23.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 9% |
| Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| Spread -30.5 | 7% |
| Spread -35.5 | 7% |
| Spread -27.5 | 5% |
| Spread -38.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 18.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Delaware vs. Vanderbilt. In the upcoming college football game between Delaware and Vanderbilt, scheduled for September 12 at 4:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Delaware" if Delaware win the game. This market will resolv…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $172K.
Methodology
This overview of Delaware vs. Vanderbilt reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- Is Polymarket legal in my country?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Polymarket Germany Legal has a different geo footprint.
- How are winnings taxed?
- Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
- What happens during a tax audit?
- You're responsible for documenting your trades. Polymarket Germany Legal exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
- Are prediction markets gambling?
- Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
- What if regulation changes?
- If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Polymarket Germany Legal would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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