Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Germany Legal) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| North Dakota State O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Air Force 1H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Air Force 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Air Force 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Air Force 1H O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Air Force 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 96% |
| O/U 49.5 | 95% |
| O/U 48.5 | 94% |
| O/U 44.5 | 94% |
| O/U 50.5 | 94% |
| O/U 52.5 | 93% |
| North Dakota State vs. Air Force | 91% |
| O/U 56.5 | 86% |
| Spread -2.5 | 85% |
| Spread -3.5 | 83% |
| Spread -4.5 | 82% |
| Spread -6.5 | 80% |
| Spread -5.5 | 80% |
| Spread -1.5 | 79% |
| North Dakota State O/U 30.5 | 77% |
| Spread -9.5 | 73% |
| Spread -7.5 | 70% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 70% |
| Air Force O/U 20.5 | 64% |
| Spread -10.5 | 60% |
| O/U 62.5 | 59% |
| Air Force O/U 23.5 | 55% |
| Spread -14.5 | 52% |
| North Dakota State O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Air Force O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Air Force O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Air Force O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Air Force O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Air Force 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Air Force 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Air Force 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| DJ Scott: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Liam Szarka: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Myles Mitchell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Owen Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Rocco Conti: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mekhi Collins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nathan Hayes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kemper Hodges: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Reis Kessel: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jackson Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Keegan Sack: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Matt Long: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chris Kiel: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jonah Dawson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Gage LaDue: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Luke Rauh: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Isiah St. Romain: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Logan Conklin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mason Hayes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Air Force 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| O/U 68.5 | 41% |
| Spread -16.5 | 34% |
| Spread -17.5 | 34% |
| Spread -20.5 | 27% |
| Spread -24.5 | 27% |
| Spread -21.5 | 23% |
| Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| Spread -6.5 | 10% |
| Spread -1.5 | 9% |
| Spread -2.5 | 9% |
| Spread -4.5 | 9% |
| Spread -27.5 | 8% |
| Spread -11.5 | 6% |
| Spread -14.5 | 2% |
| Air Force 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Air Force 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to north dakota state vs. air force. In the upcoming college football game between North Dakota State and Air Force, scheduled for September 12 at 10:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Dakota State" if North Dakota State win the…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $218K.
Methodology
This overview of North Dakota State vs. Air Force reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- Is Polymarket legal in my country?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Polymarket Germany Legal has a different geo footprint.
- How are winnings taxed?
- Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
- Can I trade anonymously?
- Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Polymarket Germany Legal stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
- Are prediction markets gambling?
- Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
- What if regulation changes?
- If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Polymarket Germany Legal would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
Trade North Dakota State vs. Air Force on Polymarket Germany Legal
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →