Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Germany Legal) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| North Texas 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| North Texas 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| North Texas 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 95% |
| North Texas O/U 20.5 | 91% |
| North Texas O/U 23.5 | 91% |
| North Texas O/U 26.5 | 91% |
| North Texas O/U 21.5 | 91% |
| North Texas O/U 24.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| Spread -3.5 | 78% |
| Spread -9.5 | 76% |
| Spread -10.5 | 76% |
| O/U 52.5 | 75% |
| Spread -13.5 | 70% |
| Spread -4.5 | 64% |
| O/U 40.5 | 60% |
| O/U 60.5 | 56% |
| Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| O/U 46.5 | 51% |
| O/U 70.5 | 51% |
| UNLV O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -27.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| O/U 68.5 | 50% |
| O/U 72.5 | 50% |
| O/U 74.5 | 50% |
| O/U 78.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| North Texas 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| North Texas 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| North Texas 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Jai'Den Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jackson Arnold: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jahiem White: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brendon Haygood: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Corri Milliner: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tayven Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaylon Glover: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Justin Stevenson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Taeshaun Lyons: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kayden McGee: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Baron Tipton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Josiah Martin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| DeAngelo Irvin Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Keyan Burnett: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nick Osho: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Max Reese: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Taz Reddicks: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Darrien Jones: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tavian McNair: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Shandon King: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Peyton Zachary: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| Spread -21.5 | 49% |
| Spread -24.5 | 49% |
| O/U 76.5 | 49% |
| Spread -20.5 | 48% |
| Spread -6.5 | 48% |
| O/U 56.5 | 46% |
| Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| O/U 57.5 | 42% |
| Spread -13.5 | 40% |
| O/U 58.5 | 36% |
| O/U 61.5 | 25% |
| O/U 64.5 | 21% |
| Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 17% |
| Spread -11.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 10% |
| 1H Moneyline | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| UNLV 1H O/U 12.5 | 10% |
| UNLV 1H O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| UNLV 1H O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 9% |
| UNLV vs. North Texas | 6% |
| Spread -4.5 | 5% |
| Spread -2.5 | 5% |
| Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Spread -9.5 | 5% |
| Spread -3.5 | 4% |
| Spread -17.5 | 4% |
| Spread -16.5 | 3% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 18.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of unlv vs. north texas. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between UNLV and North Texas, scheduled for September 12 at 3:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "UNLV" if UNLV win the game. This market wi…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $364K.
Methodology
This overview of UNLV vs. North Texas reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- Is Polymarket legal in my country?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Polymarket Germany Legal has a different geo footprint.
- Do I need to KYC for Polymarket Germany Legal?
- Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
- Are prediction markets gambling?
- Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
- Is there a withdrawal cap?
- No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
- What if regulation changes?
- If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Polymarket Germany Legal would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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