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Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame

"Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Polymarket Germany Legal as a Polymarket alternative.

Spread -0.5 92% Spread -1.5 92% O/U 27.5 92% Spread -2.5 91% Volume: $91K Liquidity: $2.2M Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Germany Legal) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
92% 8% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
92% 8% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -0.592%
Spread -1.592%
O/U 27.592%
Spread -2.591%
O/U 29.590%
Spread -3.589%
Spread -4.587%
Spread -5.586%
O/U 31.585%
Spread -6.584%
O/U 33.584%
O/U 35.580%
Spread -7.579%
Spread -8.579%
Wisconsin O/U 6.579%
Notre Dame O/U 25.578%
Notre Dame O/U 26.577%
Spread -10.576%
O/U 37.574%
Notre Dame O/U 27.574%
Spread -13.572%
O/U 39.570%
2H Spread -5.568%
Spread -14.567%
Notre Dame O/U 28.567%
2H Spread -4.567%
Wisconsin O/U 7.566%
Spread -16.565%
Notre Dame O/U 29.565%
Wisconsin O/U 9.564%
O/U 41.563%
1H Spread -9.563%
2H Spread -6.563%
1H Spread -8.563%
Notre Dame O/U 30.562%
Spread -17.561%
3Q Spread -2.560%
O/U 43.558%
2Q Spread -6.557%
Spread -20.556%
4Q Spread -2.556%
1H Spread -10.555%
Notre Dame O/U 31.555%
Notre Dame O/U 32.555%
1Q Spread -6.554%
Wisconsin O/U 10.554%
O/U 45.553%
2H Spread -7.553%
Notre Dame O/U 33.553%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 6.553%
2H Spread -8.552%
3Q Spread -6.552%
1Q Spread -5.551%
1Q Moneyline51%
2Q Spread -5.551%
2Q Spread -9.551%
3Q Spread -1.551%
3Q Moneyline51%
4Q Spread -1.551%
4Q Spread -5.551%
4Q Moneyline51%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 15.551%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 8.551%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 12.551%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 14.551%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 16.551%
Wisconsin O/U 1.551%
Wisconsin O/U 12.551%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 11.551%
Wisconsin O/U 1.551%
Wisconsin O/U 3.551%
Notre Dame O/U 0.551%
Notre Dame O/U 1.551%
3Q Spread -8.551%
4Q Spread -8.551%
4Q Spread -0.551%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 18.551%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 22.551%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 5.551%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 9.551%
Spread -21.550%
2H Moneyline50%
1H Spread -11.550%
1H Spread -12.550%
2H Spread -9.550%
1Q Spread -4.550%
1Q Spread -8.550%
2Q Spread -8.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 19.550%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 4.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 4.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 6.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 8.550%
O/U 46.550%
Notre Dame O/U 4.550%
Nolan James Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
James Flanigan: Anytime Touchdown50%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 21.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 13.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 15.550%
3Q Spread -7.550%
Wisconsin O/U 0.550%
Wisconsin O/U 2.550%
Notre Dame O/U 2.550%
Notre Dame O/U 3.550%
4Q Spread -6.550%
2Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 20.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 7.550%
Cam Williams: Anytime Touchdown50%
1H Spread -13.549%
4Q Spread -3.549%
4Q Spread -4.549%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 17.549%
Notre Dame O/U 34.549%
O/U 47.547%
Wisconsin O/U 13.545%
2H Spread -10.545%
2Q Spread -7.542%
2H Spread -11.542%
Notre Dame O/U 35.541%
Spread -24.540%
O/U 49.540%
Notre Dame O/U 36.539%
Aneyas Williams: Anytime Touchdown39%
Notre Dame O/U 37.538%
1H Spread -14.537%
1H Spread -15.536%
Spread -27.535%
O/U 51.535%
1H Spread -16.535%
Wisconsin O/U 15.534%
1Q Spread -3.533%
Wisconsin O/U 16.532%
Notre Dame O/U 39.531%
O/U 53.530%
1Q Spread -7.530%
Notre Dame O/U 38.530%
Notre Dame O/U 40.528%
O/U 55.526%
Kedren Young: Anytime Touchdown26%
Spread -31.524%
Wisconsin O/U 18.524%
O/U 57.523%
Wisconsin O/U 19.523%
Jordan Faison: Anytime Touchdown23%
4Q Spread -7.523%
Spread -34.519%
Cooper Flanagan: Anytime Touchdown19%
Colton Joseph: Anytime Touchdown18%
CJ Carr: Anytime Touchdown17%
Abu Sama III: Anytime Touchdown17%
O/U 59.516%
O/U 61.516%
Jaden Greathouse: Anytime Touchdown15%
Mylan Graham: Anytime Touchdown15%
Micah Gilbert: Anytime Touchdown15%
Darrion Dupree: Anytime Touchdown14%
O/U 63.512%
1H Moneyline12%
Eugene Hilton Jr.: Anytime Touchdown11%
O/U 65.510%
Chris Brooks Jr.: Anytime Touchdown9%
Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame8%
O/U 67.58%
Jacob Harris: Anytime Touchdown8%
Jaylon Domingeaux: Anytime Touchdown8%
Matt Jeffery: Anytime Touchdown8%
Elijah Burress: Anytime Touchdown8%
Tyrell Henry: Anytime Touchdown8%
Malachi Coleman: Anytime Touchdown7%
Shamar Rigby: Anytime Touchdown5%
Ryan Schwendeman: Anytime Touchdown4%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 92% YES probability for Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 6 at 7:30PM ET: If Wisconsin wins, the market will resolve to "Wisconsin". If Notre Dame wins, the market will resolve to "Notre Dame". I…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -0.5 at 92% for "Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame".

Spread -0.5 92% Other 8%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $91K.

Methodology

This overview of Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Is Polymarket legal in my country?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Polymarket Germany Legal has a different geo footprint.
Do I need to KYC for Polymarket Germany Legal?
Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
Can I trade anonymously?
Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Polymarket Germany Legal stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
What if regulation changes?
If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Polymarket Germany Legal would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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