Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
7% | 93% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
7% | 93% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| DR Congo 0 - 1 Uzbekistan | 7% YES | 94% NO |
| DR Congo 0 - 2 Uzbekistan | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| DR Congo 2 - 0 Uzbekistan | 12% YES | 89% NO |
| DR Congo 1 - 2 Uzbekistan | 5% YES | 96% NO |
| DR Congo 3 - 0 Uzbekistan | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| DR Congo 2 - 2 Uzbekistan | 4% YES | 96% NO |
Market context
On 27 June 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, DR Congo and Uzbekistan will meet in a decisive FIFA World Cup group-stage match at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, with the outcome determined solely by the score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time. The current crowd-implied probability of 7% for an exact score reflects the high uncertainty typical of matches between a team needing a win to progress and one already eliminated, as seen in DR Congo’s must-win scenario against Uzbekistan, who have already been knocked out [7]. Historical parallels from previous World Cup fixtures involving debutants like Uzbekistan—qualifying for their first finals in 2026 after an 0–0 away draw on 5 June 2025 [9]—show that exact-score markets often carry low probabilities due to unpredictable scoring patterns, especially when both sides are motivated to avoid defeat despite differing tournament stakes.
Traders should monitor pre-match line-ups and any late tactical announcements, as DR Congo’s reliance on a win contrasts with Uzbekistan’s potential defensive posture after elimination [6]. Recent betting analysis highlights expectations for both teams to score, with odds at minus 125 for “both teams to score” [3], suggesting a possible 1–1 or 2–1 outcome that could shift the exact-score probability. Additionally, the settlement window ending 2026-06-27T23:30:00Z means any postponement will extend the market’s open period, while cancellation would void it entirely [1]. For regulatory context, German GlüStV implications and US CFTC reach define the legal boundaries of such prediction markets, while the “no-KYC up to $1,500” threshold enhances accessibility for traders in jurisdictions with lighter compliance requirements, allowing participation without identity verification for smaller stakes. This specific market’s structure, tied to a single match with a fixed settlement time, aligns with standard sports betting frameworks under international regulatory oversight.
Methodology
This page reviews DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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