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Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Player Props

"Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Player Props" on Polymarket, Kalshi and Polymarket Germany Legal — what traders need to know about platform choice, KYC and tax law.

Amad Diallo: 1+ goals 100% Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals 100% Erling Haaland: 1+ goals 100% Nicolas Pépé: 1+ goals + assists 100% Volume: $550K Liquidity: $996 Closes: 30 Jun 2026
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Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Germany Legal) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Amad Diallo: 1+ goals100%
Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals100%
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals100%
Nicolas Pépé: 1+ goals + assists100%
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots100%
Amad Diallo: 1+ shots100%
Amad Diallo: 2+ shots100%
Amad Diallo: 1+ shots on target100%
Amad Diallo: 2+ shots on target100%
Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots on target100%
Nicolas Pépé: 1+ shots on target100%
Erling Haaland: 1+ shots on target100%
Erling Haaland: 2+ shots on target100%
Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ shots100%
Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots100%
Nicolas Pépé: 1+ shots100%
Nicolas Pépé: 2+ shots100%
Nicolas Pépé: 1+ assists100%
Amad Diallo: 1+ goals + assists100%
Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals + assists100%
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals + assists100%
Evann Guessand: 1+ shots100%
Erling Haaland: 3+ shots on target50%
Yahia Fofana: 2+ saves2%
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals0%
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goals0%
Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals0%
Amad Diallo: 2+ goals0%
Amad Diallo: 3+ goals0%
Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ goals0%
Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ goals0%
Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ goals0%
Antonio Nusa: 2+ goals0%
Antonio Nusa: 3+ goals0%
Elye Wahi: 1+ goals0%
Elye Wahi: 2+ goals0%
Elye Wahi: 3+ goals0%
Erling Haaland: 2+ goals0%
Erling Haaland: 3+ goals0%
Evann Guessand: 1+ goals0%
Evann Guessand: 2+ goals0%
Evann Guessand: 3+ goals0%
Jens Hauge: 1+ goals0%
Jens Hauge: 2+ goals0%
Jens Hauge: 3+ goals0%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals0%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goals0%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goals0%
Oumar Diakité: 1+ goals0%
Oumar Diakité: 2+ goals0%
Oumar Diakité: 3+ goals0%
Egil Selvik: 2+ saves0%
Egil Selvik: 3+ saves0%
Egil Selvik: 4+ saves0%
Egil Selvik: 5+ saves0%
Yahia Fofana: 3+ saves0%
Yahia Fofana: 4+ saves0%
Yahia Fofana: 5+ saves0%
Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ goals0%
Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goals0%
Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ goals0%
Nicolas Pépé: 1+ goals0%
Nicolas Pépé: 2+ goals0%
Nicolas Pépé: 3+ goals0%
Oscar Bobb: 1+ goals0%
Oscar Bobb: 2+ goals0%
Oscar Bobb: 3+ goals0%
Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ goals0%
Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ goals0%
Elye Wahi: 3+ goals + assists0%
Elye Wahi: 4+ goals + assists0%
Jens Hauge: 1+ goals + assists0%
Jens Hauge: 2+ goals + assists0%
Jens Hauge: 3+ goals + assists0%
Jens Hauge: 4+ goals + assists0%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals + assists0%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goals + assists0%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goals + assists0%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ goals + assists0%
Alexander Sørloth: 3+ shots0%
Alexander Sørloth: 4+ shots0%
Amad Diallo: 3+ shots0%
Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ shots0%
Antonio Nusa: 4+ shots0%
Antonio Nusa: 5+ shots0%
Elye Wahi: 3+ shots0%
Elye Wahi: 4+ shots0%
Elye Wahi: 5+ shots0%
Jens Hauge: 3+ shots0%
Jens Hauge: 4+ shots0%
Jens Hauge: 5+ shots0%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ shots0%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ shots0%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 5+ shots0%
Nicolas Pépé: 3+ shots0%
Nicolas Pépé: 4+ shots0%
Nicolas Pépé: 5+ shots0%
Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ shots0%
Thelo Aasgaard: 4+ shots0%
Thelo Aasgaard: 5+ shots0%
Alexander Sørloth: 4+ shots on target0%
Elye Wahi: 4+ shots on target0%
Erling Haaland: 4+ shots on target0%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ shots on target0%
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shots0%
Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ assists0%
Antonio Nusa: 1+ assists0%
Antonio Nusa: 2+ assists0%
Elye Wahi: 1+ assists0%
Elye Wahi: 2+ assists0%
Nicolas Pépé: 2+ assists0%
Oscar Bobb: 1+ assists0%
Oscar Bobb: 2+ assists0%
Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ assists0%
Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ assists0%
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals + assists0%
Antonio Nusa: 4+ goals + assists0%
Elye Wahi: 1+ goals + assists0%
Elye Wahi: 2+ goals + assists0%
Oscar Bobb: 1+ goals + assists0%
Oscar Bobb: 2+ goals + assists0%
Oscar Bobb: 3+ goals + assists0%
Oscar Bobb: 4+ goals + assists0%
Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ goals + assists0%
Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ goals + assists0%
Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ goals + assists0%
Thelo Aasgaard: 4+ goals + assists0%
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots on target0%
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shots on target0%
Alexander Sørloth: 3+ shots on target0%
Amad Diallo: 3+ shots on target0%
Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ shots on target0%
Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ shots on target0%
Antonio Nusa: 2+ shots on target0%
Antonio Nusa: 3+ shots on target0%
Elye Wahi: 1+ shots on target0%
Elye Wahi: 2+ shots on target0%
Elye Wahi: 3+ shots on target0%
Jens Hauge: 1+ shots on target0%
Jens Hauge: 2+ shots on target0%
Jens Hauge: 3+ shots on target0%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ shots on target0%
Nicolas Pépé: 2+ shots on target0%
Nicolas Pépé: 2+ goals + assists0%
Nicolas Pépé: 3+ goals + assists0%
Nicolas Pépé: 4+ goals + assists0%
Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ goals0%
Erling Haaland: 1+ assists0%
Erling Haaland: 2+ assists0%
Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ shots0%
Antonio Nusa: 2+ shots0%
Elye Wahi: 1+ shots0%
Elye Wahi: 2+ shots0%
Jens Hauge: 1+ shots0%
Jens Hauge: 2+ shots0%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shots0%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shots0%
Oscar Bobb: 1+ shots0%
Oscar Bobb: 2+ shots0%
Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ shots0%
Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ shots0%
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assists0%
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ assists0%
Amad Diallo: 1+ assists0%
Amad Diallo: 2+ assists0%
Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ assists0%
Jens Hauge: 1+ assists0%
Jens Hauge: 2+ assists0%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ assists0%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ assists0%
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goals + assists0%
Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals + assists0%
Alexander Sørloth: 4+ goals + assists0%
Amad Diallo: 2+ goals + assists0%
Amad Diallo: 3+ goals + assists0%
Amad Diallo: 4+ goals + assists0%
Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ goals + assists0%
Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goals + assists0%
Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ goals + assists0%
Andreas Schjelderup: 4+ goals + assists0%
Antonio Nusa: 2+ goals + assists0%
Antonio Nusa: 3+ goals + assists0%
Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ shots on target0%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shots on target0%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shots on target0%
Nicolas Pépé: 3+ shots on target0%
Oscar Bobb: 1+ shots on target0%
Oscar Bobb: 2+ shots on target0%
Oscar Bobb: 3+ shots on target0%
Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ shots on target0%
Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ shots on target0%
Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ shots on target0%
Erling Haaland: 2+ goals + assists0%
Erling Haaland: 3+ goals + assists0%
Erling Haaland: 4+ goals + assists0%
Alexander Sørloth: 5+ shots0%
Amad Diallo: 4+ shots0%
Amad Diallo: 5+ shots0%
Andreas Schjelderup: 4+ shots0%
Andreas Schjelderup: 5+ shots0%
Antonio Nusa: 3+ shots0%
Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ shots0%
Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ shots0%
Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ shots0%
Ange-Yoan Bonny: 4+ shots0%
Ange-Yoan Bonny: 5+ shots0%
Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ assists0%
Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ assists0%
Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ shots on target0%
Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ shots on target0%
Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ shots on target0%
Ange-Yoan Bonny: 4+ shots on target0%
Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ goals + assists0%
Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ goals + assists0%
Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ goals + assists0%
Ange-Yoan Bonny: 4+ goals + assists0%
Evann Guessand: 2+ shots0%
Evann Guessand: 3+ shots0%
Evann Guessand: 4+ shots0%
Evann Guessand: 5+ shots0%
Oumar Diakité: 1+ shots0%
Oumar Diakité: 2+ shots0%
Oumar Diakité: 3+ shots0%
Oumar Diakité: 4+ shots0%
Oumar Diakité: 5+ shots0%
Evann Guessand: 1+ assists0%
Evann Guessand: 2+ assists0%
Oumar Diakité: 1+ assists0%
Oumar Diakité: 2+ assists0%
Evann Guessand: 1+ shots on target0%
Evann Guessand: 2+ shots on target0%
Evann Guessand: 3+ shots on target0%
Oumar Diakité: 1+ shots on target0%
Oumar Diakité: 2+ shots on target0%
Oumar Diakité: 3+ shots on target0%
Evann Guessand: 1+ goals + assists0%
Evann Guessand: 2+ goals + assists0%
Evann Guessand: 3+ goals + assists0%
Evann Guessand: 4+ goals + assists0%
Oumar Diakité: 1+ goals + assists0%
Oumar Diakité: 2+ goals + assists0%
Oumar Diakité: 3+ goals + assists0%
Oumar Diakité: 4+ goals + assists0%

Market context

The underlying real-world event is the FIFA World Cup Round of 32 match between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway, scheduled for 30 June at 1:00 PM ET, where player props cover shots, goals, assists and saves. Current crowd-implied probability sits at 25% YES for a specific player outcome, reflecting Norway’s 46.1% win probability and the most likely correct score of 1–1[3].

Historical precedents in similar World Cup knockout games show that when a favoured side like Norway (moneyline +110) faces a resilient underdog like Côte d'Ivoire (+250), player prop markets often cluster around both teams scoring and low individual goal tallies, with the over/under set at 2.5 goals[1][3]. This pattern suggests the 25% YES probability is consistent with a tight, balanced contest where individual standout performances are less likely than collective defensive resilience.

Traders should monitor pre-match squad announcements, particularly whether Erling Haaland starts, as his involvement significantly impacts Norway’s attacking output and player prop liquidity[8]. Additionally, watch for any regulatory updates on German GlüStV compliance or US CFTC reach affecting offshore platforms, as these could alter market accessibility. The “no-KYC up to $1,500” threshold currently enables broader participation for retail traders in this specific market, though future KYC tightening may restrict access[2]. Recent analysis from Action Network reinforces the expectation of both teams scoring, which indirectly supports lower individual goal props for key attackers[1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This overview of Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Player Props reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Is Polymarket legal in my country?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Polymarket Germany Legal has a different geo footprint.
Do I need to KYC for Polymarket Germany Legal?
Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
How are winnings taxed?
Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
and

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