Croatia vs. Ghana - Total Corners

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying real-world event is the FIFA World Cup Group L match between Croatia and Ghana, scheduled for 5:00 PM ET on 27 June at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. This fixture determines corner totals for a specific prediction market where the crowd currently assigns only a 10% probability to the "YES" outcome, implying a low expectation of total corners.

Historical data frames this low probability, as both teams have registered minimal corner tallies in prior group rounds, with only three other nations taking fewer corners than Croatia and Ghana, whose counts stand at four apiece each [3]. Croatia’s recent trend shows under 10.5 corners per match, while both sides have streaks for under 4.5 cards, suggesting a muted game flow that supports the current 10% odds [8]. Traders should watch for pre-match lineups confirming set-piece specialists, as RotoWire notes that full breakdowns of corner and free-kick takers are available for all 48 teams, which could shift expectations if key players are rested [1]. The settlement window closes at 21:00 UTC on 27 June, making immediate post-match data critical for final verification.

Regulatory accessibility hinges on German GlüStV implications and US CFTC reach, which define compliance boundaries for prediction markets operating across these jurisdictions. The "no-KYC up to $1,500" threshold allows traders to access this specific market without identity verification for smaller stakes, enhancing liquidity while remaining within legal limits. This structure ensures that the market remains accessible to a broad audience without triggering stringent anti-money laundering protocols for low-value positions, provided the activity stays within the stipulated financial cap.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.