Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Germany Legal) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 187.5 | 96% |
| O/U 189.5 | 94% |
| O/U 191.5 | 93% |
| O/U 193.5 | 92% |
| O/U 195.5 | 90% |
| O/U 197.5 | 89% |
| O/U 199.5 | 85% |
| O/U 201.5 | 83% |
| O/U 203.5 | 80% |
| LeBron James: Points O/U 9.5 | 80% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 1.5 | 78% |
| O/U 205.5 | 76% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 3.5 | 75% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 9.5 | 75% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 1.5 | 74% |
| O/U 207.5 | 73% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 73% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 72% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 14.5 | 71% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 14.5 | 70% |
| LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 70% |
| O/U 209.5 | 69% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 69% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 68% |
| Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 68% |
| Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 68% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 68% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 1.5 | 67% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5 | 67% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 19.5 | 66% |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 3.5 | 66% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 1.5 | 66% |
| O/U 211.5 | 65% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 1.5 | 65% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 65% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 65% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 9.5 | 65% |
| Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 1.5 | 64% |
| LeBron James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 64% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 62% |
| O/U 213.5 | 61% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 14.5 | 61% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 61% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 3.5 | 61% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 19.5 | 60% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 14.5 | 59% |
| O/U 215.5 | 56% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 9.5 | 54% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 54% |
| LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 54% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 14.5 | 53% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | 52% |
| O/U 217.5 | 52% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 26.5 | 52% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| O/U 218.5 | 49% |
| Anfernee Simons: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Anfernee Simons: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| LeBron James: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| LeBron James: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| LeBron James: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| O/U 219.5 | 48% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 4.5 | 46% |
| Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 11.5 | 45% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 29.5 | 45% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Anfernee Simons: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| O/U 221.5 | 43% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 43% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| LeBron James: Points O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 24.5 | 40% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 9.5 | 40% |
| Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 29.5 | 39% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 39% |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 24.5 | 39% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| Anfernee Simons: Points O/U 4.5 | 39% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| O/U 223.5 | 38% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 7.5 | 38% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 2.5 | 38% |
| Spread -4.5 | 37% |
| Spread -5.5 | 37% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| Neemias Queta: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 36% |
| O/U 225.5 | 35% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 22.5 | 35% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 35% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5 | 34% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 33% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 4.5 | 33% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 32% |
| Spread -7.5 | 31% |
| LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 31% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Neemias Queta: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| O/U 227.5 | 30% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 23.5 | 30% |
| Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 30% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 29% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 24.5 | 29% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 28% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 6.5 | 28% |
| LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 28% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 14.5 | 28% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Anfernee Simons: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Spread -9.5 | 27% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 39.5 | 27% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 39.5 | 27% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 27% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 21.5 | 27% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 9.5 | 27% |
| Spread -8.5 | 26% |
| O/U 229.5 | 26% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 24.5 | 26% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 26% |
| LeBron James: Points O/U 15.5 | 26% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5 | 26% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 12.5 | 26% |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5 | 25% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 7.5 | 25% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 25% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 24% |
| O/U 231.5 | 23% |
| Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| Neemias Queta: Assists O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| Spread -10.5 | 22% |
| Spread -11.5 | 22% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 14.5 | 22% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| O/U 233.5 | 21% |
| Spread -24.5 | 21% |
| LeBron James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| LeBron James: Points O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| Anfernee Simons: Points O/U 9.5 | 19% |
| Spread -13.5 | 18% |
| O/U 235.5 | 18% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 34.5 | 18% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| Spread -12.5 | 17% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 29.5 | 16% |
| LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 16% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Anfernee Simons: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Spread -23.5 | 15% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 24.5 | 15% |
| Spread -15.5 | 14% |
| Spread -22.5 | 14% |
| Spread -25.5 | 14% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 39.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| O/U 237.5 | 13% |
| O/U 239.5 | 13% |
| Spread -26.5 | 13% |
| Spread -27.5 | 13% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 13% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Spread -28.5 | 12% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 29.5 | 12% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 29.5 | 12% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Anfernee Simons: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Spread -16.5 | 10% |
| Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| O/U 241.5 | 10% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| LeBron James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| O/U 243.5 | 8% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Neemias Queta: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| Spread -18.5 | 7% |
| Spread -19.5 | 7% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 34.5 | 7% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Anfernee Simons: Points O/U 14.5 | 7% |
| Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 6% |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 11.5 | 6% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 14.5 | 6% |
| Neemias Queta: Assists O/U 3.5 | 6% |
Market context
Celtics vs. 76ers. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 52% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-11-11T01:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $80K.
Methodology
This overview of Celtics vs. 76ers reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- Is Polymarket legal in my country?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Polymarket Germany Legal has a different geo footprint.
- How are winnings taxed?
- Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
- Can I trade anonymously?
- Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Polymarket Germany Legal stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
- Are prediction markets gambling?
- Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
- What if regulation changes?
- If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Polymarket Germany Legal would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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