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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

"Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Polymarket Germany Legal as a Polymarket alternative.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Volume: $456K Liquidity: $784K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Germany Legal) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.574%
Map 2 Winner67%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.561%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Sentinels (+3.5)60%
O/U 2.5 Games51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Sentinels (+3.5)50%
Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)50%
Match Winner46%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5)40%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Sentinels (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs Sentinels (+5.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs Sentinels (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs Sentinels (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-7.5) vs Sentinels (+7.5)0%

Market context

The Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Valorant match between 100 Thieves and Sentinels in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 30 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thie…

Methodology

This overview of Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Can I trade anonymously?
Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Polymarket Germany Legal stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Polymarket Germany Legal exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
What if regulation changes?
If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Polymarket Germany Legal would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
and

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