Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Germany Legal) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread: 76ers (-2.5) | 100% |
| Team to Score First | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| LeBron James: Points O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 76ers O/U 109.5 | 100% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 54.5 | 100% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 56.5 | 100% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 58.5 | 100% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 60.5 | 100% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 57.5 | 100% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 61.5 | 100% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 63.5 | 100% |
| Race to 10 | 100% |
| Race to 20 | 100% |
| Race to 30 | 100% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| LeBron James: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| LeBron James: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Sam Merrill: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Anfernee Simons: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Anfernee Simons: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| LeBron James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| James Harden: Steals O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| LeBron James: Steals O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| LeBron James: Steals O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| LeBron James: Steals O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Peyton Watson: Steals O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Peyton Watson: Steals O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Peyton Watson: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Sam Merrill: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Sam Merrill: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| LeBron James: Points O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 57.5 | 100% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 61.5 | 100% |
| Cavaliers vs. 76ers | 0% |
| Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5 | 0% |
| Odd/Even Score | 0% |
| O/U 234.5 | 0% |
| O/U 233.5 | 0% |
| O/U 235.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| O/U 221.5 | 0% |
| O/U 224.5 | 0% |
| O/U 230.5 | 0% |
| O/U 227.5 | 0% |
| O/U 232.5 | 0% |
| O/U 237.5 | 0% |
| O/U 238.5 | 0% |
| O/U 240.5 | 0% |
| O/U 246.5 | 0% |
| O/U 243.5 | 0% |
| O/U 249.5 | 0% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 62.5 | 0% |
| Cavaliers O/U 106.5 | 0% |
| Cavaliers O/U 107.5 | 0% |
| Cavaliers O/U 108.5 | 0% |
| Cavaliers O/U 111.5 | 0% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 54.5 | 0% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| Cavaliers O/U 113.5 | 0% |
| Cavaliers O/U 112.5 | 0% |
| 76ers O/U 114.5 | 0% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 56.5 | 0% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| Cavaliers O/U 116.5 | 0% |
| 76ers O/U 119.5 | 0% |
| Cavaliers O/U 117.5 | 0% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 60.5 | 0% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| Cavaliers O/U 118.5 | 0% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| Cavaliers O/U 121.5 | 0% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 62.5 | 0% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| Cavaliers O/U 123.5 | 0% |
| Cavaliers O/U 122.5 | 0% |
| 76ers O/U 124.5 | 0% |
| Cavaliers O/U 127.5 | 0% |
| Cavaliers O/U 126.5 | 0% |
| 76ers O/U 129.5 | 0% |
| Cavaliers O/U 128.5 | 0% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| Overtime? | 0% |
| Anfernee Simons: Points O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Anfernee Simons: Points O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Anfernee Simons: Points O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 44.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: Points O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: Points O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: Points O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| LeBron James: Points O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Sam Merrill: Points O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Sam Merrill: Points O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Anfernee Simons: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Anfernee Simons: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Assists O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Assists O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Anfernee Simons: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Anfernee Simons: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Anfernee Simons: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Anfernee Simons: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| LeBron James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| LeBron James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| James Harden: Steals O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| James Harden: Steals O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Peyton Watson: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Peyton Watson: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 239.5 | 0% |
| O/U 231.5 | 0% |
| O/U 229.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| O/U 228.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| O/U 225.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| O/U 242.5 | 0% |
| O/U 241.5 | 0% |
| O/U 226.5 | 0% |
| O/U 223.5 | 0% |
| O/U 222.5 | 0% |
Market context
Cavaliers vs. 76ers. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 44% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-22T23:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $11.2M.
Methodology
This overview of Cavaliers vs. 76ers reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- Is Polymarket legal in my country?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Polymarket Germany Legal has a different geo footprint.
- How are winnings taxed?
- Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
- Can I trade anonymously?
- Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Polymarket Germany Legal stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
- Are prediction markets gambling?
- Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
- What if regulation changes?
- If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Polymarket Germany Legal would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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