Highest temperature in Dallas on July 13?

Platform comparison

Market context

On 13 July 2026, the highest temperature recorded at Dallas Love Field Station will settle this market into one of several predefined Fahrenheit ranges. The National Weather Service operates this official observation point, and Wunderground's historical database will serve as the authoritative source for resolution. Dallas summer temperatures typically peak between 95–100°F in mid-July, though heat domes and upper-level ridging can drive readings substantially higher.

The 0% crowd probability reflects genuine uncertainty about which specific temperature band will occur rather than doubt about whether a measurement will be recorded. Historical July 13th data from Dallas shows considerable variance: the station has recorded highs ranging from 88°F to 104°F on this calendar date across different years. The 2023 summer saw multiple days exceeding 105°F in the Dallas area, whilst cooler patterns in 2019 produced July highs in the low 90s. This historical spread illustrates why traders cannot simply extrapolate recent heat trends into a single confident outcome.

Traders should monitor National Weather Service forecasts released in the week preceding 13 July, particularly any alerts regarding heat advisories or excessive heat warnings for the Dallas–Fort Worth region. Upper-air pattern discussions from NOAA's Storm Prediction Centre, typically updated daily, will indicate whether a high-pressure system is positioned to drive anomalous heat. Soil moisture conditions and any tropical activity affecting the Gulf of Mexico in early July could modulate afternoon temperatures. The settlement window closes at 12:00 UTC on the resolution date, allowing traders to refine positions as the actual forecast solidifies within 48–72 hours beforehand.

Methodology

This overview of Highest temperature in Dallas on July 13? reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

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FAQ

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