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Packers vs. Patriots

"Packers vs. Patriots" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Polymarket Germany Legal as a Polymarket alternative.

Spread -2.5 100% 1H Spread -1.5 100% 1H Spread -2.5 100% 1H Spread -3.5 100% Volume: $2.6M Liquidity: $1.9M Closes: 8 Nov 2026
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Packers vs. Patriots

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Germany Legal) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
1H Spread -5.5100%
1H Spread -6.5100%
1H Spread -7.5100%
1H Spread -8.5100%
1H Spread -9.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -4.5100%
1Q Spread -6.5100%
1Q Spread -7.5100%
1Q Spread -9.5100%
1Q Spread -10.5100%
1Q Spread -13.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
O/U 24.5100%
O/U 26.5100%
O/U 28.5100%
O/U 30.5100%
O/U 32.5100%
O/U 34.5100%
O/U 36.5100%
O/U 38.5100%
O/U 40.5100%
O/U 42.5100%
O/U 44.5100%
O/U 46.5100%
O/U 48.5100%
O/U 50.5100%
O/U 52.5100%
O/U 54.5100%
O/U 56.5100%
O/U 58.5100%
O/U 60.5100%
O/U 62.5100%
O/U 64.5100%
1H O/U 16.5100%
1H O/U 19.5100%
1H O/U 22.5100%
1H O/U 25.5100%
1H O/U 28.5100%
2H O/U 16.5100%
2H O/U 19.5100%
2H O/U 22.5100%
1Q O/U 5.5100%
1Q O/U 6.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
1Q O/U 10.5100%
1Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 5.5100%
2Q O/U 6.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 14.5100%
3Q O/U 5.5100%
3Q O/U 6.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 10.5100%
3Q O/U 13.5100%
3Q O/U 14.5100%
Packers O/U 10.5100%
Packers O/U 12.5100%
Packers O/U 13.5100%
Packers O/U 16.5100%
Packers O/U 19.5100%
Packers O/U 20.5100%
Packers O/U 23.5100%
Packers O/U 26.5100%
Packers O/U 27.5100%
Packers O/U 30.5100%
Packers O/U 34.5100%
Patriots O/U 10.5100%
Patriots O/U 12.5100%
Patriots O/U 13.5100%
Patriots O/U 16.5100%
Patriots O/U 20.5100%
Packers 1H O/U 6.5100%
Packers 1H O/U 10.5100%
Packers 1H O/U 12.5100%
Packers 1H O/U 13.5100%
Packers 1H O/U 16.5100%
Packers 1H O/U 17.5100%
Packers 1H O/U 19.5100%
Packers 1H O/U 20.5100%
Patriots 1H O/U 6.5100%
Patriots 1H O/U 10.5100%
Patriots 1H O/U 12.5100%
Patriots 1H O/U 13.5100%
Packers 2H O/U 6.5100%
Packers 2H O/U 10.5100%
Packers 2H O/U 12.5100%
Packers 2H O/U 13.5100%
Packers 2H O/U 16.5100%
Packers 2H O/U 17.5100%
1H Moneyline100%
1Q Moneyline100%
Packers vs. Patriots99%
Spread -1.599%
Spread -3.599%
3Q Spread -2.599%
3Q Spread -3.599%
3Q Spread -6.599%
3Q Spread -7.599%
3Q Spread -10.599%
Spread -4.598%
Spread -5.598%
Spread -6.598%
Spread -7.598%
Spread -9.596%
Spread -8.595%
Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q93%
Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q92%
Spread -10.591%
3Q Spread -4.591%
3Q Spread -9.591%
Patriots O/U 19.591%
3Q Moneyline91%
2H O/U 25.590%
Packers 2H O/U 19.590%
Packers 2H O/U 20.590%
Patriots 2H O/U 6.590%
2H O/U 28.587%
Spread -13.586%
4Q O/U 7.585%
2H Spread -2.584%
Spread -14.583%
4Q O/U 6.579%
Spread -16.574%
2H Spread -6.571%
2H Spread -7.568%
Spread -17.567%
4Q O/U 10.561%
2H Spread -10.556%
4Q Spread -2.554%
Spread -19.553%
2H Spread -9.552%
2H Spread -8.551%
Patriots O/U 27.551%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -13.550%
2H Spread -14.550%
2H Spread -16.550%
2H Spread -17.550%
2H Spread -20.550%
2H Spread -21.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -6.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
2H Spread -8.550%
2H Spread -9.550%
2H Spread -10.550%
2H Spread -13.550%
2H Spread -14.550%
2H Spread -16.550%
2H Spread -17.550%
2H Spread -20.550%
2H Spread -21.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Spread -9.550%
4Q Spread -13.550%
4Q Spread -14.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Spread -9.550%
4Q Spread -13.550%
4Q Spread -14.550%
4Q O/U 5.550%
Patriots O/U 23.550%
Patriots O/U 26.550%
Patriots O/U 30.550%
Patriots O/U 34.550%
Patriots 2H O/U 10.550%
Patriots 2H O/U 12.550%
Patriots 2H O/U 13.550%
Patriots 2H O/U 16.550%
Patriots 2H O/U 17.550%
Patriots 2H O/U 19.550%
Patriots 2H O/U 20.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Exact Margin: Packers by 25+50%
Exact Margin: Packers by 19-2450%
Exact Margin: Packers by 13-1850%
Exact Margin: Packers by 7-1250%
Exact Margin: Packers by 1-650%
Exact Margin: Patriots by 1-650%
Exact Margin: Patriots by 7-1350%
Exact Margin: Patriots by 14-2050%
Exact Margin: Patriots by 21+50%
Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q50%
Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q50%
Packers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Patriots Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Packers vs. Patriots: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Packers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Patriots Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Spread -20.549%
Spread -21.545%
4Q Spread -2.544%
4Q O/U 13.544%
4Q O/U 14.539%
4Q Spread -3.536%
Spread -19.532%
Spread -21.530%
Spread -8.522%
4Q Spread -3.522%
4Q Spread -7.521%
4Q Spread -10.518%
4Q Spread -6.514%
4Q Spread -6.512%
4Q Spread -7.512%
2H Spread -2.510%
3Q Spread -13.510%
3Q Spread -9.510%
3Q Spread -4.59%
3Q Spread -13.59%
3Q Spread -14.59%
3Q Spread -14.57%
4Q Spread -10.53%
Exact Margin: Tie2%
3Q Spread -3.51%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
1Q O/U 14.50%
Patriots 1H O/U 16.50%
Patriots 1H O/U 17.50%
Patriots 1H O/U 19.50%
Patriots 1H O/U 20.50%
2Q Moneyline0%

Market context

The Packers vs. Patriots prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming NFL football game between Packers and Patriots, scheduled for November 8 at 4:25PM ET: This market will resolve to "Packers" if Packers win the game. This market will resolve to "Patri…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -2.5 at 100% for "Packers vs. Patriots".

Spread -2.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $2.6M.

Methodology

This overview of Packers vs. Patriots reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

How are winnings taxed?
Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
Can I trade anonymously?
Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Polymarket Germany Legal stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
What if regulation changes?
If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Polymarket Germany Legal would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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