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Raiders vs. 49ers

"Raiders vs. 49ers" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Polymarket Germany Legal as a Polymarket alternative.

Spread -1.5 100% Spread -2.5 100% Spread -3.5 100% Spread -4.5 100% Volume: $2.6M Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 8 Nov 2026
Open live market →
Raiders vs. 49ers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Germany Legal) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Spread -9.5100%
Spread -10.5100%
Spread -13.5100%
Spread -14.5100%
Spread -16.5100%
Spread -17.5100%
Spread -19.5100%
Spread -20.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
1H Spread -5.5100%
1H Spread -6.5100%
1H Spread -7.5100%
1H Spread -8.5100%
1H Spread -9.5100%
1H Spread -10.5100%
2H Spread -9.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -4.5100%
1Q Spread -6.5100%
1Q Spread -7.5100%
1Q Spread -9.5100%
1Q Spread -10.5100%
1Q Spread -13.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q Spread -4.5100%
3Q Spread -6.5100%
O/U 24.5100%
O/U 26.5100%
O/U 28.5100%
O/U 30.5100%
O/U 32.5100%
O/U 34.5100%
O/U 36.5100%
O/U 38.5100%
O/U 40.5100%
O/U 42.5100%
O/U 44.5100%
O/U 46.5100%
O/U 48.5100%
O/U 50.5100%
O/U 52.5100%
O/U 54.5100%
1H O/U 16.5100%
1H O/U 19.5100%
1H O/U 22.5100%
1H O/U 25.5100%
1H O/U 28.5100%
2H O/U 16.5100%
2H O/U 19.5100%
2H O/U 22.5100%
1Q O/U 5.5100%
1Q O/U 6.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
1Q O/U 10.5100%
1Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 5.5100%
2Q O/U 6.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 14.5100%
3Q O/U 5.5100%
3Q O/U 6.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 10.5100%
3Q O/U 13.5100%
3Q O/U 14.5100%
Raiders O/U 10.5100%
Raiders O/U 12.5100%
Raiders O/U 13.5100%
Raiders O/U 16.5100%
49ers O/U 10.5100%
49ers O/U 12.5100%
49ers O/U 13.5100%
49ers O/U 16.5100%
49ers O/U 19.5100%
49ers O/U 20.5100%
49ers O/U 23.5100%
49ers O/U 26.5100%
49ers O/U 27.5100%
49ers O/U 30.5100%
49ers O/U 34.5100%
Raiders 1H O/U 6.5100%
49ers 1H O/U 6.5100%
49ers 1H O/U 10.5100%
49ers 1H O/U 12.5100%
49ers 1H O/U 13.5100%
49ers 1H O/U 16.5100%
49ers 1H O/U 17.5100%
49ers 1H O/U 19.5100%
49ers 1H O/U 20.5100%
Raiders 2H O/U 6.5100%
49ers 2H O/U 6.5100%
49ers 2H O/U 10.5100%
49ers 2H O/U 12.5100%
49ers 2H O/U 13.5100%
49ers 2H O/U 16.5100%
2Q Moneyline100%
2H Spread -7.599%
4Q Spread -2.598%
Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q95%
Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q92%
2H Spread -1.591%
2H Spread -2.591%
2H Spread -3.591%
2H Spread -4.591%
2H Spread -5.591%
2H Spread -6.591%
2H Spread -8.591%
Exact Margin: 49ers by 21+90%
Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q50%
Raiders Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
49ers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Raiders vs. 49ers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Raiders Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
49ers Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.550%
2H Spread -1.510%
2H Spread -2.510%
2H Spread -3.510%
2H Spread -4.510%
2H Spread -5.510%
2H Spread -6.510%
2H Spread -7.510%
2H Spread -8.510%
2H Spread -9.510%
2H Spread -10.510%
2H Spread -13.510%
2H Spread -14.510%
2H Spread -16.510%
2H Spread -17.510%
2H Spread -20.510%
2H Spread -21.510%
2H Spread -16.510%
2H Spread -17.510%
2H Spread -20.510%
2H Spread -21.510%
4Q Spread -4.510%
4Q Spread -9.510%
4Q Spread -13.510%
4Q Spread -14.510%
4Q Spread -4.510%
4Q Spread -9.510%
4Q Spread -13.510%
4Q Spread -14.510%
2H O/U 25.510%
2H O/U 28.510%
4Q O/U 5.510%
Raiders 2H O/U 10.510%
Raiders 2H O/U 12.510%
Raiders 2H O/U 13.510%
Raiders 2H O/U 16.510%
Raiders 2H O/U 17.510%
Raiders 2H O/U 19.510%
Raiders 2H O/U 20.510%
49ers 2H O/U 17.510%
49ers 2H O/U 19.510%
49ers 2H O/U 20.510%
Exact Margin: Raiders by 25+10%
Exact Margin: Raiders by 19-2410%
Exact Margin: Raiders by 13-1810%
Exact Margin: Raiders by 7-1210%
Exact Margin: Raiders by 1-610%
Exact Margin: Tie10%
Exact Margin: 49ers by 1-610%
Exact Margin: 49ers by 7-1310%
Exact Margin: 49ers by 14-2010%
Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q9%
4Q Spread -10.58%
4Q Spread -7.56%
4Q Spread -3.53%
4Q Spread -6.52%
4Q Spread -6.52%
4Q O/U 6.52%
4Q O/U 7.52%
2H Spread -13.51%
2H Spread -14.51%
4Q Spread -2.51%
4Q Spread -3.51%
4Q O/U 10.51%
4Q O/U 14.51%
2H Moneyline1%
Raiders vs. 49ers0%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -21.50%
Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -10.50%
O/U 56.50%
O/U 58.50%
O/U 60.50%
O/U 62.50%
O/U 64.50%
1Q O/U 14.50%
4Q O/U 13.50%
Raiders O/U 19.50%
Raiders O/U 20.50%
Raiders O/U 23.50%
Raiders O/U 26.50%
Raiders O/U 27.50%
Raiders O/U 30.50%
Raiders O/U 34.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 10.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 12.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 13.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 16.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 17.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 19.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 20.50%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Moneyline0%
3Q Moneyline0%
4Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of raiders vs. 49ers. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming NFL football game between Raiders and 49ers, scheduled for November 8 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Raiders" if Raiders win the game. This market will …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -1.5 at 100% for "Raiders vs. 49ers".

Spread -1.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $2.6M.

Methodology

This overview of Raiders vs. 49ers reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Is Polymarket legal in my country?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Polymarket Germany Legal has a different geo footprint.
Do I need to KYC for Polymarket Germany Legal?
Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Polymarket Germany Legal exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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